Even after all this, ceko still didn't level me up. FFS ceko.
(Also if I'm dead - I was never leveled up by anyone. Just putting that information out there)
Here are the facts:
-
Archer Frinckes
followed
Yuesford
night 1 to see him visit
blinkskater
#1675
-
Ceko claims Magus
leveling
blinkskater
up day 1 #4040
-
Wrath claims Magus
leveling me up day 1 #4271
-
Oberon claims rogue
#3510
-
ZZorange claims knight
having checked
Yuesford
as NOT a member of the
Shadows
#4152
-
Ceko
claims to have roleblocked MM + an unspecified player night 1 #3836
-
Wrath
claims to have roleblocked MM +
Yuesford
night 1 #4233
-
Darkness
,
Shadow
, and
Templar
remain (
Archer Frinckes
- this should seem obvious, but this post just confirms that
Archer Frinckes
could NOT have been
Sticky Impersonator
) #3850
Therefore you can logically deduce the following:
- Because neither
Magus
claim claims to have leveled up
Yuesford
day 1, then
Yuesford
must have been a
Fanatic
night 1.
-
Yuesford
cannot have been
horrored
away from his house because then
Archer Frinckes
would not have been able to visit him.
- Both
Magus
claims claim to have used roleblock night 1, therefore
Yuesford
couldn't have been manipulated.
-
Fanatics
can only visit members of the
Shadows
, therefore
blinkskater
is mechanically confirmed
Shadow
or
Darkness
.
- With 3 scum remaining and 2 scum among (
Ceko
,
Wrath
,
Oberon
,
ZZorange
) and
blinkskater
confirmed as the last scum. That means all of Marshmallow Marshall, Numbertwo, Varcron, LagAttack, CRichard, and PQRnHack are mechanically confirmed day 0 villagers.
-
WrathCyber
claims to have roleblocked
Yuesford
+ MM, but the RB hit MM. Since the roleblock hits the highest level and MM is confirmed level 0, that would mean
Yuesford
would have been a level 0 villager as well. Which he clearly wasn't, therefore
WrathCyber
is lying and is not the real
Magus
.
- Since
WrathCyber
is not the real
Magus
,
Ceko
is confirmed as
Magus
.
-
ZZorange
claims to check
Yuesford
and found him to be town, which is false. No
Magus
claims to have manipulated
ZZorange
, nor does he claim to have been manipulated himself. He also did not claim to have been
horrered
. Therefore
ZZorange
is lying and is NOT
Knight
.
- Since
ZZorange
is NOT
Knight
, that means
Oberon must be Rogue.
Therefore your mechanically confirmed solve is:
Ceko: Magus
Frinckles: Archer -> Ranger
Oberon: Rogue
MM, #2, Varcron, LagAttack, CRichard, PQR, OzyWho: Villagers
Yuesford: Fanatic -> Terrible Prophet
blinkskater: Shadow
(OR
Darkness
)
ZZorange: Darkness
(OR
Shadow
OR
Templar
)
WrathCyber: Templar
(OR
Shadow
OR
Darkness
)
There is a high chance that
blinkskater
was
Slime
that got leveled up into
Sticky Impersonator
that is IMPERSONATING
Glorious Master
- do not trust him at all, he is mechanically confirmed
Shadow
OR
Darkness
).
===
Now leaving mechanically confirmed territory into the 99% chance based on their play territory:
Of the 3 remaining scum,
Wrath is Templar
And then it is very likely that:
ZZorange is Darkness
blinkskater is Slime -> Sticky -> Paladin -> Glorious Master
The gameplan is therefore:
- Lynch blinkskater first
- Lynch ZZorange second
- Kill Wrath at night if possible - or ignore him if not possible.
===
IMPORTANT WARNING FOR TOWN:
SCUM WILL HAVE 4 VOTE POWER, IT IS VERY LIKELY THAT YOU NEED 5 VOTES TO HAMMER TODAY.
THEREFORE DO NOT PLACE RANDOM VOTES - SCUM CAN DO AN EXTENDED QUICK HAMMER FOR A WIN.
PLACE YOUR VOTE ON BLINKSKATER, OR NO ONE
===
Contingency scenarios that I can see town getting confused about:
Why did 3 townies die?
Terrible Prophet Kill + Magus Kill + De-Level.
Why did Wrath not die if ceko fireballed him?
Scum must have leveled him to level 2 at some point granting him night immunity. Oberon should have leveled up off of it, but Stealthy Assassin kill does not pierce night immunity - save that kill for killing ZZorange instead.
OR
Scum roleblocked ceko, no level up for Oberon, but nothing changes. Ceko is still Magus, Wrath still Scum (99% Templar), and Oberon still Rogue.
Blinkskater just revealed as Glorious Master, doesn't that make him town?
No, for probably the tenth time, no. If he reveals as Glorious Master it's because he was Sticky Impersonator.
But I think {INSERT-MECHANICALLY-CONFIRMED-VILLAGER} is Scum based off of a tonal read and {INSERT-SOME-OTHER-SHITTY-REASONING-THAT-NEVER-TRUMPS-MECHANICALLY-CONFIRMED-INFORMATION}!
You're wrong. The scum list is mechanically confirmed. The only way these people are not scum is if a
TOWNIE has been
LYING ALL GAME. But not just lying all game, lying in such a way that is directly beneficial to scum and harmful to town. Which is actually just game-throwing. If you play where you assume that people are always game-throwing, then you're going to lose a lot, because people rarely
actually game throw.
Do not waste time talking about the
mechanically confirmed villagers, scum will try their hardest in order to cause chaos and accuse these people as that's their only path to victory. Don't take the bait, ignore them.
===
Also on the topic of blinkskater. Can we take a minute to just appreciate how rude his strategy was? Tunneling a new-player to the game, accusing them of lying for weeks OOG? Extremely mean-spirited and his play will have made this almost certainly both my first AND last FM game I'll play.
I've played hundreds of games of IRL mafia. In that setting you play to have fun with friends. You don't target a new player as scum and then try to make them have as little fun as possible. You especially don't mock them when they call you out on it. Winning isn't worth that much.
===
TL;DR
why are you playing FM if you can't even be bothered to read this? This post has very important information, go read it you dummy
The gameplan is:
- Lynch blinkskater first
- Lynch ZZorange second
- Kill Wrath at night if possible - or ignore him if not possible.
AND VERY IMPORTANTLY: DO NOT MEME WITH YOUR VOTE, SCUM CAN GET AN EXTENDED QUICKHAMMR WIN OFF OF A SINGLE MISPLACED TOWN VOTE. VOTE BLINKSKATER, OR NO ONE.
Scum's entire game plan for today is going to be to cause enough chaos and confusion to trick a single towny (or two if Wrath died) into misplacing their vote, that way they can get an extended quick hammer win.