
Originally Posted by
Joffrey
First off, we shall start with the givens. 1. Mafia's goal is to destroy their enemies. 2. The cult is the mafias' enemy. 3. The Cult Leader has a vest. 4. Each mafia team has one kill each night.
Next are the assumptions. 1. Bronn was either telling the truth about his teammate or has some suspicion of Ser Gregor of being an enemy of his mafia. 2. Bronn, as mafia, would want to strike at his enemy using the least means possible. 3. A town PR would have claimed by L-4.
Let's take this each step by step. The mafia, who only have one kill each night, find out about one of its member's hesitations about a proposed kill. They ask themselves, "why would he or she do this?" Well, he or she could be in the cult and this target is a part of the cult. Then they ask themselves, "why would he or she defend him so much? If I were in the cult and Ser Gregor was just a cultist I would just say 'fuck it, I need to stay under cover.'" They answer themselves, "Ser Gregor is most likely a cult leader. We can't kill him tonight because we would lose a kill if he hasn't used his vest." So they decide to kill someone else, using the premise of "Ser Gregor is the Cult Leader."
So when Bronn is put on the lynch-light, he sees an opportunity to knock out a major contender in this here game. He must have argued to himself, "Either my mafia needs to attack Ser Gregor twice, or I could have the town lynch this bastard the next day. Killing the cult is in the town's interest, so I'm just going to put this in my last will."