um gimme like 20 mins i'll write a quick one, probs wont be able to post much up until eod
You will get what you really want D3 but yeah, I have a few takes.
I’m kill immune because of bounty hunter. Unless cape flips bounty hunter Huo would be a good protection target
Huo as confirmed town as possible without mechanical if Cape flips mafia
Cape negates lynch with flower power pacifist can (and should) act. High risk ability but would mean either another confirmed town or scum d3 which are both useful.
Scumbot voting off wagon is totally fucked. Derp town move from hell if they don’t understand how shadow works or maybe neutral flagging mafia?
Teacher/fancy lady still play off me
I would like to see 1post read walls from those who have not given them. Forcing everyone to take positions helps sort the game as we are very likely heading into scum flips
Outside of that the reads I will give is Huo is likely town and self resolving if not, Luka I have as strongly not mafia and likely town, and DM is likely town as much as he is blundering about. Will be much more open tomorrow.
Intellectual growth comes from discussions, not arguments. If you are unwilling to change your position and hear the other persons side you are closed minded and wasting your time.
If you can not clearly explain what the other sides reasoning is you can not disagree with their position because you do not understand it.
Whats shadow?
honestly, there was no point in moving my vote until we were ready to end the day
Intellectual growth comes from discussions, not arguments. If you are unwilling to change your position and hear the other persons side you are closed minded and wasting your time.
If you can not clearly explain what the other sides reasoning is you can not disagree with their position because you do not understand it.
but I guess since I'm getting fussed at then I guess we are
-vote cape40
-vote cape90
The specific risk was a snipe. Making a counter wagon allows potential for mafia to slide the lynch off cape if he is mafia. Given his lack of participation or defense I find that more likely than not.
A town would fight for life and FOS the hell out of Huo. A neutral would fight for life or strike a deal. He had just pretty much gone belly up.
Intellectual growth comes from discussions, not arguments. If you are unwilling to change your position and hear the other persons side you are closed minded and wasting your time.
If you can not clearly explain what the other sides reasoning is you can not disagree with their position because you do not understand it.
Inclined to say scumbot never mafia, the way this read on me is delivered with a sort of rambling-on style to it that reads to me as genuine and authentic or otherwise difficult to fake.
I have no comment about it other than that though. I'm not sure how I ended up being on the "sidelines" given some of the thread's general interaction has been with me, but aside from that, most of what I've had to say this day phase is regarding topics of consensus attention (which I think is part of what Scumbot and probably Huo Huo earlier are getting at). I didn't intend that, but it ended up being that way and elaboration can be given if desired.
As far as varcron is concerned, I had a lean town-read on him for making a post with a similar conclusion that I had as well as this post (below) which tonally felt towny. A few hours ago I was slowly reconsidering back of my head but then MM affirmed that Varcron is town and I'm inclined to sheep it for the time being.
gonna write out the rest of my reads soon
A.K.A "That One Idiot"
-vote Cape90
So I’m not a hypocrite: )
Intellectual growth comes from discussions, not arguments. If you are unwilling to change your position and hear the other persons side you are closed minded and wasting your time.
If you can not clearly explain what the other sides reasoning is you can not disagree with their position because you do not understand it.
ok helz and huo town (i'm not entertaining a world where cape flips a neut and not maf after his role claim unless something mech-else occurs)
I think martin has been towny
scumbot more meh today than day 1 so little lower
DM probs town and that's a meta read
Mm is ... not great still but decent. like if he is wolf its a decent game. tone just gets weird sometimes, idk if its cuz I never play with MM, maybe it's normal? didn't really like the way he voted huohuo yesterday either and then came into today finding the sr lol. plausible as town but it still pings me
oli is keklmao I can't read him really. I can't tr him I guess is my point, but blatant sr would be hard to commit to too, cuz idk.
lily is ex dee here is a scumread
surely i'm forgetting someone but idk
I mean, it seems like no one would get lynched besides Cape. Everyone (save for Cape) is going to publicly vote Huo so even with a shadow there's 0 chance someone goes over him.
varcron. right. remember none posts
-vote Cape90
yeh we avoid any shenanigans
To clarify, I mean that if Cape is both Neutral and a night immune neutral it opens the potential that the no kill n1 could have been mafia hitting night immune and mafia Huo using it to town clear. If Cape is a ghost or something Huo is still semi confirmed town.
Intellectual growth comes from discussions, not arguments. If you are unwilling to change your position and hear the other persons side you are closed minded and wasting your time.
If you can not clearly explain what the other sides reasoning is you can not disagree with their position because you do not understand it.
But protective goes on me, don't be stupid
Tyvm glgl
-Huohuo
when is eod?
MM -- very likely town, only care to elaborate if someone wants to know
Mizery -- Various reasons, but most primarily because there's partner plausibility between Miz and Cape as well as I'm not sensing any sort of real solving by Mizery this day phase. You really should just re-read my d2 posts about or with Mizery and then ask me if you have any remaining questions.
Cape90 -- very obvious town
Scumbot -- They've not had my attention for long in this game, so to be frank, I didn't really have any strong opinions about them till like my last post. Put it another way, they were more or less null. I didn't really see anything bad from them, and more recently I've seen something positive.
Auwt -- Coin flip. I haven't really taken this guy seriously because he plays infrequently and posts kinda infrequently with a distinct style to them since he's ESL (I believe). So I don't really trust any conclusions I could make of him atm, and is one of my likely evaluations into d3.
Luka -- Mixed feelings about this slot. Some of the posts they make are tonally good, but overall it feels like what they've made is fake-able and that concerns me. I've also been tinfoiling if them not feeling like being here has anything to do with the red-check on cape. Otherwise one of my likely evaluations for d3.
Helz -- very obvious mafia
Dark Magician -- Given they've talked so much d2, I might have missed something, but otherwise probably town. Similar conclusions, oversized and commanding ego, etc. Only valid concern I've heard recently about Dark Magician is if DM is intentionally making so many reads that he only needs to pick the ones that fit to the consensus or situation. Possible re-evaluation on d3 but prob more likely d4 if both him and I live to that point.
Oliverz -- Mostly influenced by what I know of Oli. Aside from that, some tonally good posts. Sometimes on specific posts its a mix of knowing Oli and therefore that knowledge of knowledge of Oli is what makes their tone good.
Huo Huo -- obvious mafia
lilypetal -- Probably my top evaluation for D3. From d1 I had them mostly null but then Baker died with one of his reads being that Lily was town on meta and I sheeped it. Since then though it feels like Lily isn't here (or at least their presence doesn't impact the game lol) and furthermore I'm wondering about Cape + Lily compatibility given they questioned me specifically about a cape read very early on in the game. Also MM has been screaming about them as of late (sorry MM, I've just been distracted with other stuff and haven't gotten around to commenting on it).
bwcPorscha -- Nothings really changed. I still feel like most of their posts are preety good, in particular the baker interactions towards end of D1.
Varcron -- see my last post
A.K.A "That One Idiot"
Intellectual growth comes from discussions, not arguments. If you are unwilling to change your position and hear the other persons side you are closed minded and wasting your time.
If you can not clearly explain what the other sides reasoning is you can not disagree with their position because you do not understand it.
A.K.A "That One Idiot"
I very much dislike dictating night actions but if Cape is lunch protected and pacifist exists Martin would be a good check imo. That reads list looks fabricated as fuck.
I’m very obvious mafia? Huo is obvious mafia? Cape is town?
Like.. wut? Shows total detachment from the game
Intellectual growth comes from discussions, not arguments. If you are unwilling to change your position and hear the other persons side you are closed minded and wasting your time.
If you can not clearly explain what the other sides reasoning is you can not disagree with their position because you do not understand it.
A.K.A "That One Idiot"
And are you trying to gaslight me or something?
A.K.A "That One Idiot"
he's clearly kidding lol
I actually don't know what gaslighting is, I don't use it very often as a term.
But it feels like you're intentionally saying dumb things to irate me or whatever.
A.K.A "That One Idiot"
Well I am mechanically confirmed town. Huo is absolutely likely town based upon their red check on Cape and Cape has a red check. Looks like you were just listing names and writing random stuff about them to me while appearing to hunt. I would expect if you were team scum you would be at least engaged enough in the game to recognize those major points in a read wall..
So if your neutral without an anti town win condition claim now. After your checked it will be too late
Intellectual growth comes from discussions, not arguments. If you are unwilling to change your position and hear the other persons side you are closed minded and wasting your time.
If you can not clearly explain what the other sides reasoning is you can not disagree with their position because you do not understand it.
Do we get notifications if we become wild?
like I think he's being honest with his other readz but the mechanical ones he's just mucking around.
Ehh. My bad if so. My autism makes sarcasm difficult for me >.<
Intellectual growth comes from discussions, not arguments. If you are unwilling to change your position and hear the other persons side you are closed minded and wasting your time.
If you can not clearly explain what the other sides reasoning is you can not disagree with their position because you do not understand it.
Some kind of a list (in towniness %) :
Helz (100% T)
Luka (80% T)
Huo (75% T)
Oliver (60% T)
Expected scums count : 0-1
------------------------------------------
scumbot - porscha - lily - Varcron (Mostly unsorted, no specific opinion as of today)
Expected scums count : 2
------------------------------------------
DM (45% T)
MM - Martin (40% T)
Mizery (35% T)
Cape (5% T)
Expected scums count : 3-4
------------------------------------------
Hoping this can somehow help later on.
In you guys opinion, who are the 3 least experienced players in this lobby?