I feel like I have wasted the entire game dedicating myself to a stupid gambit a d completely failing at it. And now there's 0 reason to keep it up. I owe some people a big apology.
I've attempted to draw the night kill in everyday, to try and protect TPRs. Day 1 I quoted and talked about TPR roles, day 2 I spent hinting I have feedback, that blew up in my face when Mike believed I have a scum check on him and panicked (which explains when he later claimed neutral as it would appear scum in a list maker scenario, but I am getting major last game vibes where I did the same to scum). Day 3 I spent strongly hinting that I like to help people rather than hurt them.
I've spent the game avoiding the Town Leadership like a TPR in hopes of drawin in a kill (even possibly being healed at the same time.) I think the last game really hurt my confidence as leading town, no matter what I said or proved I was still lynched as Town Detective despite outing and cornering scum, it's left a sour taste in my mouth and I've even tried to get revenge by trying to make a train on Oberon at the start of the game.
I think that Helz may of understood what I was doing as he noticed I was playing differently right from the start. I might of done I to well and attracted only the heal, if this is the case I really am sorry.
As for my current reads I'm going to be honest and say them all even if it turns people against me.
Firstly, the Lynches. Number 2 was lynched and their lynch was difficult to pull off and even had to get flipped. Honestly would of thought more people would of voted him, I personally would of still pushed for Auwt had I been around at the EoD 2.
The next day, a carol was named, containing My name, Varcons and Renegades. All three names are a near- lurker level players, and so happened to contain Varcrons name from the previous EoD lynch list. Dispite my and Renegades play Varcron was immediately top of the list, and the lynch on him was extremely easy. The warning light given to me was Varcrons claims, they came too easy and am not surprised if they are an actor.
This has really given me the chills, and to look at this logically if you put Number 2 as scum who is an actress the Lynches make more sense.
Starting with Mike, and I agree with Helzs statement again, he has been sneaking shade in and drawing attention to Helz possibility of TPR. I have a scum read on him since d2 and he has not been acting in the town's best interest. This could be explained if he is neutral, but what was stopping him from changing any of the names in the Carol, there is 0 reason for him to release a carol with his or Blinks name in.
With Blink, my read on him was based on their reaction to Mike. This was before the claims. Both Mike and Light are forced to read Blink as town, and with them doing so this means that they create this easily absorbed image that blink is town. Yet if you ignore the neutrals input it removes the townread placed on Blink.
If Blink is scum, the game was handed over to them and it's near impossible to get over them.
Now we have Light. Perhaps the most innocent person on the game and they are gaurenteed to be neutral. I respect their position, I hope the game isn't too boring for them. My only sadness is that they didn't try and get nightkilled. That would of been some epic play.
With Oberon, I had them pegged as TPR, the one with the ornaments, but the fact that they are still alive and still useless gives me a strong scum read on them.
With Bakemir, with Helzs claim now moot, the scum read on them that I had yesterday is now town read. Purley based on the fact the game is this late and there are no counterclaims. Their tone had been off but I believe I was reading their frustration and not that their scum.
I've not read Ozy yet. Given time I will accomplish that today, given we had two days of no content, I've not read any scum hints or slips yet but I will be doing a deeper ISO on them.
PnQ an Renegade are similar, but PnQ is.more town after pushing Varcron to death, only a townie can be so heavily dedicated to lynch someone and not care about the aftermath. The only problem is that the lynch in the Carol was going to happen anyway. Renegade hasn't been as emotional when people have been pressuring them or being called into the lynch line. I hope this is just a major step up from their past, it would be nice to see someone do some personal development. Although their calmness may just be because they know what the flips are going to be.
Regarding the neutral stance. Today is Lynch wrong and we lose if Blink is scum, but on the other hand it also means that if they are town. They become mechanically confirmed tomorrow as non-scum. Personally I'm for risking it because if they win as scum there will be no hard feelings because the balence was heavily in their favour. I'm willing to die, just want
@
Mike
to re-comfirm he hasn't edited the carol suggesting good sportsmanship for neutral play.
So. If the netuals are not scum. Oberon, Renegade, Ozy, PnQ, Bakemir are the order of scum reads. With today being Renegade or me due to the Carol's to gaurentee atlet one scum gone.
If it isnt clear my role is Holiday Patron.
If I've missed something I'm sorry. Have not had as much time as I normally do, and I've also felt a bit brain dead for the most of the game.