Originally Posted by
Zedus
Hello.
Well, Auwt's death hurts me, he was trusted for me, also he is good player. And we lost not only good player, we lost doctor.
I see there is Martin vs Barkermir now. I will explain later why in my eyes Barkermir got some town points and Martin lost some. But now I will not focus on this conflict, because I try to look at this from another side.
If you want to find a murderer, you need to know his motive, as Sherlock Holmes said. Most likely that was:
1. He scumread murderer and killed for that. Simple and predictable? Yes. But I have seen how often town can forget everything happens previous day, so doing this "obvious" kill is not as risky as it seems.
2. Someone "read" his as doctor and killed him for that.
Well, you know, I am not the fan of "reading" cult, I am pretty sure reading doesn't work at all, and all of you just pretending they can read, and then they are lucky with guessing some scum, they count that lucky case as proof of succesful "reading", ignoring over9000 failed "reading" attempts. This called Survivorship bias. But I have to put this motive into the pool.
3. Anti-#2. He townread the murderer and killed, so murderer can say "he said I am town, sure it's not me, look at his scumlist". This logic works.
4. Mafia just attacking town leader/most trusted person.
This is more risky, because this player most likely will be healed. For example, if I am doctor, surely I will heal someone from my townlist: Renegade, Auwt or Mike. Every doctor will do the same. And Auwt did the same, look at his lw. So attacking someone, who is "green" for many ppl have high chance of fail. That's why I almost excluded this motive from my list, but before do that, I read setup settings again:
So mafia can kill someone with 100% chance, ignoring healing, and motive #4 is not exluded.
5. Mafia just randoming someone, lol.
More likely not.
6. The answer is within one or Auwt's post.
I will read every Auwt's post from d1, trying to find why can he was attacked and killed. This will cost me the time, and it's night here in Moscow, so I will do that tomorrow morning with fresh mind. My lw stays the same, if I die to virus before I will post that, you will know other staff from me and some my conclusions. Also If I realy die to virus, plz, do this thing: read Auwt's posts with attention, you will find something he was killed for.
Now some questions, before I go to sleep:
Is that "I am sheriff, I checked MM and he is virus" or "I guessing MM is virus, no explanation"?
I understood this like "I am hunter and I will shoot Frinkles this night". Maybe it's my non-english speaker's mistake, am I wrong? Or you mean "If I were hunter I would shoot Frinkles"? An another question: well, if you were ready to kill Frinkles, why you attacking Marting now?
Also, question for Martin: what do you think about Frinckles? He is not so passive now, is he townlike or scumlike? Can you explain your opinion?
Yes, I trying, but I found virushunting is hard. My theory is that virus is in my "yellow" d1 list: Frinckles, Marshmallow Marshall, Martin, Mesk514 or 2 afk players, already replaced now. Now I can exclude Martin, I think he is mafia or town, I will think about that tomorrow and i have some pro and contra on him. But well, honestly, I don't know how to find virus. If I was virus, I would play as some silent player with low level of participation, but other player can think another way, and all my conclusions is probably total bullshit.
Also, you should know,
I accept Barkermir's vote on me and I see no scummy in this, that was the right thing he do to make me look around. There is some another reasons to think he is scum, but that vote indicate noting, I am sure.
Hope I don't missed something. Going to sleep now, I will be VERY active from tomorrow morning, I dare. I feel I will find the key in Auwt's posts.