Originally Posted by
yzb25
Let’s cut to the chase.
I am your [COLOR=][BOLD]F.B.I. Agent[/BOLD][/COLOR]
I checked Joey last night. He is [COLOR=][BOLD]NOT THE SERIAL KILLER[/BOLD][/COLOR]
I have ranked players on their towniness and made a makeshift lynch order. Feel free to give input, obviously.
(Tier A) Gyrlander – Gyrlander has shown an incredible degree of conviction regarding his reads, making it very difficult to imagine him as the Serial Killer. Furthermore, the exact configuration of his reads makes it difficult to imagine what mafia team he could even plausibly fit into. For example, if he were with BC, it would be very risky to maintain a hard townread on BC for so long when it looked very likely for a long while BC would be lynched. If his intention was backing BC, there would be no reason to townread me and Frinckles so hard. He’s also kept thick red reads on the newbies for effectively the entire game.
(Tier A) JoeyDX – Confirmed to not be the Serial Killer. I think we can also reasonably bet on him not being mafia, given how sincerely he seemed to believe in his (admittedly absurd) Frinckles/Banana team for 10 minutes. Even supposing he were were mafia, it’s difficult to imagine who his team member might be, given his interactions. The most plausible might be Kenny, and even that is very tenuous.
(Tier B) Bananacucho – Given the game, I feel less confident about my ability to give an objective read on this slot. A good portion of it is just based on my gut and feelings at this point. He certainly gives off the aura of an initially apathetic then eventually frustrated town, which he can probably fake, and he certainly has had a lot of “towny reactions”, which he could probably also fake. However, I’ll just say fuck it and trust the judgement of the other towns on this, both alive and deceased.
(Tier C) LuckyDucky – There is a lot of precedent for smurf accounts and COMs pretending to be newbies who do not believe in the foundations of scumhunting. That said, talking to him gave me the impression he probably doesn’t fall into this camp. It felt like he went to great lengths to try and make me see his perspective with the movie analogy.
Regardless, he is in my view the most likely candidate for serial killer after Michael and Kenny. His guess that Frinckles would not be a night hit was very suspicious, given he’s read the game and should be aware Frinckles is townread by effectively everyone, even if Frinckles is quite abrasive. A lot of his play, from accusing Joey of being SK to proposing the weird SK strategy could be interpreted as someone doing a bad job of distancing themselves from being SK.
(Tier D) Michael34 – Not much to say
(Tier D) Aamirus/Kenny – Not much to say
If we follow a lynching order like Michael -> Kenny -> Lucky -> BC, the only plausible scenario I can see where we lose is if BC and Duck are both scum (but not mafia together). That said, if we’ve got a day we may as well make the most of it. I imagine Kenny and Michael had defences planned and we may as well give them 24 hours to make those cases, at the very least.