Why turbolynching is bad and why most of you are incompetent.
Random lynching is when someone is lynched for no real or specific reason. The general idea is that you can get lucky and hit scum due to pure luck, but that you are more likely to hit town due to them making up a greater portion of the player %. While this can still be better then no lynching in extremely vanilla setups where you aren't going to get much information, it is far from ideal, especially with setups with a larger number of TPRs where the margin for error for mislynching is thinner but more information will become available due to night actions. Crypt is the host, do you think this is a super vanilla setup?
The reason why lynches without "evidence" is often still beneficial to the town is the principle that it is possible to guide the lynches through logical arguments and deductive reasoning such that the odds of hitting an anti-town player are higher then what would be expected from a random lynch.
Turbolynching, in the manner that was seen yesterday, I am going to argue was worse then random lynching. The reason behind this is that due to the lack of opportunity given for the accused to defend themselves and, in a case such as what just occurred, the highly lackluster logic behind the lynch, the lynch train isn't any more likely to land on scum then it is on town. Additionally, due to the overall questionable nature of lynching under these circumstances, even if the lynch was actually directed towards a mafia member, it is super easy for other mafia members to either lurk or dig in their heels so that the lynch doesn’t go through… and they don’t even look scummy when doing so because of the overall dodgy nature of turbolynches.
For this reason, turbolynching is bad. Players who make bad plays are incompetent. If anyone feels like this is an unfair statement, feel free to voice your disagreement.
Now that is dealt with, who do I think is the best target going into day 2?
Papa Johns
I could post quite a few things as to why I find Papa John to be scummy, but the main reason I want a push on him is because he committed what I consider to be 2 of the cardinal sins of mafia.
1) Thou shalt not give controversial opinions on someone’s alignment and then proceed to give no explanation to back it up.

Originally Posted by
Papa Johns
I believe that Starbucks vs Dairy Queen is a TvT matchup at the moment despite the way they seem to accuse eachother. I believe atleast one party has views that are actually different from the surface views that they are offering up. I will not be pursuing either of those today.
This is a fairly straightforward one, even though I've seen it occur an alarming amount in recent games with no one calling it out. The idea is that mafia members want to make themselves appear pro-town by giving reads on people, but don’t actually follow it up with any arguments to support their position beyond anything extremely vague. The reason this is scummy is that the entire point of giving reads is to try and sway people to your viewpoint so that town makes a better decision with their lynch target. By omitting any logic or justification behind your belief, no one is going to actually be swayed to your position, making the only actual function being to create the appearance of being pro-town.
Also, to clarify, the “controversial” caveat was included in this statement because this behaviour isn’t that different from sheeping, where players follow popular opinion without giving a justification as to why they are following it. While sheeping certainly isn’t pro-town behaviour, it is fairly common for less experienced town players to just follow the opinions of more dominant players without giving it much thought or justification. The belief that Starbucks and Dairy Queen are both town is not popular opinion, making in an independent opinion and not sheeping. However, despite going against the grain with this statement, zero effort is made to make this a popular opinion. This loops back explanation given above. No effort to sway anyone’s opinion, just an attempt to appear pro-town.
2) Thou shalt not support a lynch train that thou does not believe in.

Originally Posted by
Papa Johns
I'm okay with sheeping Wendys even if I don't personally believe in it. Maybe it's about time to reveal some info though, Wendys? It might be your last chance.
This is a very important one. Whenever a lynch on a non-mafia player is about to occur, members of the mafia know that it will likely end up being a mislynch. Mislynches are beneficial to the mafia and something that they want to occur. However, they are simultaneously presented with the quandary that actively supporting the train will make them appear scummy if the person flips town, which they know is very likely. As such, it is not uncommon for paradoxical behaviour to occur where the player simultaneously supports the lynch train while also trying to give themselves some distance by voicing meek opposition.
This is a juicy example of such behaviour.
Additionally, once again, no justification is given for this belief. No attempt was made to sway peoples opinions to align with his own (even though his own opinion were extremely vague. Are you trying to get people to support the train? Again, paradoxical behaviour). The only point of voicing mild opposition is to have a superficial pro-town visage AFTER the lynch.
If members of the town think that the logic in this analysis is flawed, feel to free to voice your opposition. I do not know for 100% certain that Papa Johns is scum, and his responses could potentially lead to a change in opinion. However, I will flame town hard in the post-game if no follow up is made with this.
Then some questions for Papa Johns:
-Why do you think that Starbucks and Dairy Queen are town?
-Why did you not decide to give the above rationale earlier?
-Was the lynch on Wendy something that you wanted to happen?
-If the answer to the above question is no, why did you make no effort to not lynch or guide the lynch towards someone else?
-Why did you not believe in the train on Wendy?
Above is the main takeaway I want people to have from my last will. However, I will still go ahead and mention a few other people who are also on my radar:
Chick-fil-A: Seems to be very openly hinting towards having a TPR power. Reminder: TPRs generally don’t want scum to know that they are TPR, but scum are fine with people thinking they are TPR since it makes them appear town aligned. Additionally, when giving a list of potential lynch targets, he only listed lurkers and gave a bullshit reason for not going after any of the active players, showing an unwillingness to actually scumhunt. Also showed wishy-washy behaviour towards RP hunting (I do hate paradoxes). Also, most of my posts from the day were directed towards him, so my death could be a result of this.
Chipotle:

Originally Posted by
Chipotle
RP aside, I see no reason why we should not be sharing our names at the moment. Refusal to do so is absolutely anti town. More information never hurts town.
No one has any issues with this? Does this guy think that revealing TPRs is a good thing? Is he just saying something that he thinks seems pro-town, so doesn’t put any thought into what he is actually saying? Is he scum who knows more then the town about the importance of RP? He made this post immediately after his first one, which meant that he had only just begun showing activity. Therefore, there is a high chance he hadn’t really read through the entire thread, and making a statement like this before having a thorough read points to this statement being based off of information outside of the thread, meaning he knows more then the average town member.
Please don’t forget through all of this: Scum will always know more then the average town.
Subway: Had some of the same nonsense going on with him as with Chick-fil-A where he seems fine leading people to believe he is TPR. Hard making much of him. Defense against any of the pressure on him was also utter nonsense. Not convinced he is scum, but definitely someone to continue watching.