CONSPIRACY [ROUND 2]

[Cryptonic]

Do we all understand what MattZed said about the probabilities at the end of the last game? From the point of view that any one of you also rolls inno, consider the chances of there being a conspiracy at 50/50 right off the bat and not 4/6. The odds that you are the only inno and that everyone is inno are exactly equal. I just want to make sure we all start off on the same page in case the latter scenario is what we're dealing with.

I mean, I understand the logic.. but if you ran 6 games, 5 would be conspiracies. I'm not going to inflate my chances to 50% just because it better odds for me to win.
So, if you want to convince me there isn't a conspiracy, you can just vote that there isn't one. Simple as that.

[thedougler]

Wait 9 players? What was the math done for this? Probably like 8/9 games are conspiracy now lol
Yea fuck you all good luck lol

No no no I just went through this. With 9 players that means there are 10 possibilities (one for each of us as the inno and one for Setup B). And I'm not "inflating it" to 50%. For anyone else that is theoretically looking at a rolecard that says "Innocent" right now, they can immediately reduce those 10 possible rolls into 2 possible rolls; he either rolled a 9 or a 10, with possibilities 1-8 ruled out.

I mean, I understand the logic.. but if you ran 6 games, 5 would be conspiracies. I'm not going to inflate my chances to 50% just because it better odds for me to win.
So, if you want to convince me there isn't a conspiracy, you can just vote that there isn't one. Simple as that.

You sly dog... On the off chance this is Setup B (which you have ALREADY denied) you are passing the buck onto all other innos to vote no conspiracy. Either way it's a dick move and makes me suspicious of you.

For anyone who doesn't get it yet, voting for a conspiracyby default is NOT a rational choice, especially not for an inno. If we're in setup B then you're fucking us all in a classic prisoner's dilemma. If it's setup A then I know you're scum pressing for me to vote no conspiracy.

[Cryptonic]

For anyone who doesn't get it yet, voting for a conspiracyby default is NOT a rational choice, especially not for an inno. If we're in setup B then you're fucking us all in a classic prisoner's dilemma. If it's setup A then I know you're scum pressing for me to vote no conspiracy.

Yes, I realize my decision is a gambler's fallacy, but no one has done anything in this game to lead me to doubt my decision. So, no, making my decision wasn't rational, but sticking to it is.

If you want, you guys can all talk among each other for the day. Either you'll put on a charming little play for me, or you'll convince me to change my vote.

[thedougler]

Yes, I realize my decision is a gambler's fallacy, but no one has done anything in this game to lead me to doubt my decision. So, no, making my decision wasn't rational, but sticking to it is.

If you want, you guys can all talk among each other for the day. Either you'll put on a charming little play for me, or you'll convince me to change my vote.

Why should I be convincing you when you're the one so set in your views? Your trick isn't going to work on me. I'll just end up voting conspiracy like you. If your mind is made up then so is mine.

If you really don't care as you say then you wouldn't be exerting this soft pressure for innos to vote exactly how conspirators would want them to. With that in mind I'm going to react in the opposite way of what you would want me to do as a conspirator.

[Stealthbomber16]

ugh, you make this game so easy.

im voting theres a conspiracy. im out.

nooo we lost boys

Nah I trust MeaK.

Classic SmeagleJack

No no no I just went through this. With 9 players that means there are 10 possibilities (one for each of us as the inno and one for Setup B). And I'm not "inflating it" to 50%. For anyone else that is theoretically looking at a rolecard that says "Innocent" right now, they can immediately reduce those 10 possible rolls into 2 possible rolls; he either rolled a 9 or a 10, with possibilities 1-8 ruled out.



You sly dog... On the off chance this is Setup B (which you have ALREADY denied) you are passing the buck onto all other innos to vote no conspiracy. Either way it's a dick move and makes me suspicious of you.

For anyone who doesn't get it yet, voting for a conspiracyby default is NOT a rational choice, especially not for an inno. If we're in setup B then you're fucking us all in a classic prisoner's dilemma. If it's setup A then I know you're scum pressing for me to vote no conspiracy.

You are the scummiest piece of conspiracy I've ever seen.
I'll explain later.

[thedougler]

You are the scummiest piece of conspiracy I've ever seen.
I'll explain later.

You can stop pretending you don't know I'm inno.

[Stealthbomber16]

You can stop pretending you don't know I'm inno.

Innocents shouldn't feel the need to EXPLAIN or DEFEND themselves. It's why Lysergic was so scummy last game and why you and Crypt are super terrible this game.

I'm split between you guys being conspirators and SJ and Mesk feeling inno this game.

[Cryptonic]

Innocents shouldn't feel the need to EXPLAIN or DEFEND themselves. It's why Lysergic was so scummy last game and why you and Crypt are super terrible this game.

I'm split between you guys being conspirators and SJ and Mesk feeling inno this game.

LOL oh shut up. Throwing shade at me does not make you look Innocent, sorry to say. You literally said you'll explain shit later in your only post, and then insult others for explaining lol. Your half-assed effort into this game is also not how I would expect someone who has a 50% chance of being the sole-Innocent would be acting, so you scream Conspirator.


And Nah, that's stupid. You can't think 2 people are inno unless you think everyone is inno.
You would know this if you were actually Innocent. another GG no re, you and Sino both.


thedougler is the only person that is playing remotely how I would expect another Innocent would, but I am not able to believe him because of literally everyone else. And I do feel a need to explain, but that's how I get people to respond to me.

I mean, if you really want me to shut up and not post anything, then sure I'll fuck off. But I am voting Conspiracy, so congrats on losing if you decided to be a cunt as a conspirator

[thedougler]

You are the scummiest piece of conspiracy I've ever seen.
I'll explain later.

Are we ever going to know what he meant by this?

[Stealthbomber16]

Are we ever going to know what he meant by this?

Probably not.