13 pulls on Roulette

[Helz]

Just wanted to brag on this. I have been trying to pull this off for some time. Probably lost around 2k points in the process.

Its a 14 pull 100 point roulette game. The other guy starts and pulls one time. I get it and pull until the last chamber. Fun stuff. (Its right at the end of the game)

13 pull roulette game.SC2Replay

[CarolinaCrown]

Wow! What are the odds!



(1 in 14)

[Cryptonic]

lol he must've cried.

Wow! What are the odds!



(1 in 14)

anyways, don't see how it's 1/14 x.x isn't it like 0.01% chance of getting to the last pull in a 14 chamber?

[CarolinaCrown]

lol he must've cried.



anyways, don't see how it's 1/14 x.x isn't it like 0.01% chance of getting to the last pull in a 14 chamber?

I mean think about it, the bullet has an equal chance of being in any chamber. If you want, you can do the math the other way, shot by shot, and it comes out the other way. The chances of the first shot being a blank is 13/14. The chances of the second shot being a blank is 12/13, and so on until the 13th shot, which is 1/2.

So you end up with (13*12*11*...*1)/(14*13*12*...*2) = 13!/14! = 1/14

[Raptorblaze]

lol he must've cried.



anyways, don't see how it's 1/14 x.x isn't it like 0.01% chance of getting to the last pull in a 14 chamber?

Depends how it's calculated. I actually asked DR for clarification on this out of my own curiosity but he hasn't responded yet.

Two possibilities:
Pre-determined slot
Dice Rolls

Pre-determined slot seems more likely.

[CarolinaCrown]

Depends how it's calculated. I actually asked DR for clarification on this out of my own curiosity but he hasn't responded yet.

Two possibilities:
Pre-determined slot
Dice Rolls

Pre-determined slot seems more likely.

What kind of dice rolls? How did you get that figure?

[Cryptonic]

Depends how it's calculated. I actually asked DR for clarification on this out of my own curiosity but he hasn't responded yet.

Two possibilities:
Pre-determined slot
Dice Rolls

Pre-determined slot seems more likely.

Yea, a pre-determined slot is 1/14 then :3 and it makes sense, cause otherwise an overlook could cause all 14 chambers to be empty lolol

[Helz]

afk: youre reported for skying and hacking, good luck
Last Message 12:15 PM

Lawl.


Anyways I would say I did this 20-22 times to get this win. Died on the 12th pull twice, 11th once, 10th once. The rest were all 9 or lower but Every one of them was 5 or more. I don't think its random..

-edit

If I was smarter I would not have gone for 100 point games. But I feel that just adds to the feat.

[Admiral]

Yea, a pre-determined slot is 1/14 then :3 and it makes sense, cause otherwise an overlook could cause all 14 chambers to be empty lolol

Unless it starts out as a X sided die and a side is removed after each roll.

Edit: Or if it reaches the last pull the percentage is adjusted to 100.

[Gyver]

afk: youre reported for skying and hacking, good luck
Last Message 12:15 PM

Lawl.


Anyways I would say I did this 20-22 times to get this win. Died on the 12th pull twice, 11th once, 10th once. The rest were all 9 or lower but Every one of them was 5 or more. I don't think its random..

-edit

If I was smarter I would not have gone for 100 point games. But I feel that just adds to the feat.

Pure speculation but based on your statistics I can think of one way it could be programed to behave that way.

int segments = 100 / rounds;
int currentSegment = 100;
int shot = 0;
while(shot < currentSegment){

currentSegment -= segments;
wait(); *waits for play to pull trigger
shot = randomInt(100);

}
eliminate.currentPlayer();

Basically with this you start with a low probability that increases with each trigger pull until you have a 100% chance of getting shot.

[Raptorblaze]

Rev confirmed that it's a pre-determined slot. It rolls once to decide which chamber is the bullet.

[pat_power]

Better to just have a predetermined slot, anyways it makes more sense. Other option would be akin to giving a new gun with 1 less chamber after every shot.

[CarolinaCrown]

Mathematically, having a pre-determined slot and rerolling a new X-chamber gun every pull of the trigger are exactly the same.

[Squidypie]

14? Make it 15 and play with me =D

[Helz]

14? Make it 15 and play with me =D

Something is wrong with the 15 roulette. I think you have to play a game before you can make a 15 otherwise it becomes a 6. If you can 1 up this I would love it. Gotta be 100 points though.

[Raptorblaze]

Mathematically, having a pre-determined slot and rerolling a new X-chamber gun every pull of the trigger are exactly the same.

Yes but re-rolling every time is apparently kinda quirky from a programming standpoint. He said the RNG behaves weird.

[Dark.Revenant]

You always want to roll the RNG as few times as possible, to avoid patterning.

Plus it's healthy practice to avoid extraneous operations.