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  1. Forum:Mafia Discussion

    Thread:Fair setups

    Thread Author:Voss

    Post Author:Never Unlucky

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    ►►Re: Fair setups◄◄

    You should definitely aim for:

    -Neutral killing -> 15% to 20%

    -Town -> 40%

    -Mafia -> 40%.

    That's roughly the numbers a fair setup should have in a "9T-3M-3N" type of structure. The NK should not have the same odds of winning than the two other factions given that he is alone.

    EDIT: I sampled 80 mod mafia games 2 months ago, and those were the results: Town (49/80 = 61%), Mafia (24/80 = 30%), NK (7/80 = 8%).
    This is data is, however, somewhat erroneous because a) not all of the games tracked were of the 9-3-3 type (In some setups, there wasn't even a mafia), and b) I am a good player and roll town most of the time since I -blacklist half of the mafia roles, so the mafia tends to lose more games than usual in my games, thus invalidating my sampling.

    It does tell us that a setup, fair or unfair, does not necessarily warrant the winrates to be reasonable. RNG and players are factors that make it hard for any setup to have the desired outcome percentage.
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