Point 1: VCA
I'm coloring these vote counts based on my reads and what we know.
TheClowns (4 [L-4]):
jmw, ewianking, deathworlds, MartinGG99
deathworlds (4 [L-4]):
10000JellyDoughnuts, Frinckles, Aporia, TheClowns
Tauntshaman (2 [L-6]):
Marshmallow Marshall, Bakura1
Marshmallow Marshall (1 [L-7]):
oliverz144
Frinckles (1 [L-7]):
Mreevee
Bakura1 (1 [L-7]):
Tauntshaman
Notable part of this vote count is that Frinckles specifically voted DW over TheClowns at EoD1, forcing a tie and saving Clowns. Frinckles had 0 interaction with Clowns earlier in the day.
Ewianking (5 [L-2]):
10000JellyDoughnuts, MartinGG99, jmw, Frinckles, Aporia
10000JellyDoughnuts (5 [L-2]):
Marshmallow Marshall, Ashoka Tano, ewianking, Mreevee, Bakura1
Marshmallow Marshall (1 [L-6]):
oliverz144
Notably there is no clowns vote here, but they did attempt to capitalize on the early elim day 2 (albiet to no benefit).
I think both of these vote counts point to an extremely likely Frinckles/Clowns/(Ashoka, MM) team.
Point 2: Frinckles to Clowns interactions
Neither Frinckles nor Clowns have had any actual interaction with each other all game. I think this is because Clowns has been on the hot seat for most of the game and Frinckles is afraid of putting too much pressure on them. Frinckles first acknowledgement of Clowns was at the end of day 1. And it lead to nothing.
This is Frinckles responding negatively to Clowns' reads list on day 1. Frinckles proceeded to choose to keep Clowns alive over tying the vote with DW.
Frinckles' next interaction with Clowns happens on day 2 when he corrects a mechanical mistake Clowns makes.
Frinckles explains his reasoning for voting clowns, which completely overlooks the major point that I, my previous self, several other people, and himself pointed out for being a major reason to elim clowns at the end of day 1- the terrible reads list. Something that a lot of newer or less experienced scum players will struggle with is creating a fake reads list. Clowns' reads list is objectively pretty terrible. Quite simply, I think Frinckles is a good enough player to recognize that and capitalize on it. This is not a very good justification of the vote.
Frinckles' next interaction with clowns, a completely empty post.
And that's it. That's every post Frinckles has made in relation to Clowns. All four of them. There's another post justifying his vote on DW but it doesn't actually focus on Clowns at all. It's like he's viewing keeping Clowns alive as keeping a slot alive rather than keeping a player alive. That is not a pro-town POV.
3. Clowns to Frinckles interactions
I've already written about why Clowns is independently scummy in reference to their one addition to day 1, an absolutely abysmal reads list. I will not be covering that again here. Go find that post, I've made like 10, it won't be hard. I will be focusing on Clowns in relation to Frinckles.
I've covered extensively why Clowns' reads list is terrible at this point, but this absolutely nothingburger of a read of Frinckles doesn't feel very genuine to me. I'd love to hear with other Hypixelians thought about Frinckles after day 1 and whether your views align with this.
Clowns proceeds to never acknowledge Frinckles again until day 3, where they say these things
A scumread that appears to have materialized out of thin air. I take issue with this. There is no thought process here. My theory is that they decided they needed to be bussing Frinckles because Frinckles was bussing them.