No CE elimination hypothetical:
5-town-advantage over mafia w/ 1 neut, total 6 non-mafia vs 3 mafia
would take 2 mis-eliminations (eliminations of town) for mafia to win, assuming one kill per night
Risk that, if CE gets three more PRs dead in some way, we enter sudden death. Which means voting out up to three mafia in a row. Mathematically though (with the deaths we have so far), if there is only one kill per night, it is impossible for sudden death to happen before the 2nd mis-elimination UNLESS we eliminate a mafia (in other words, game would end at the same time that sudden death happens if three mafia are still alive). So, realistically, worst-case scenario we'll have to vote out two remaining mafia together after correctly voting out one of the three. Otherwise, Sudden Death may very well never exist in this game.
CE elimination hypothetical:
First day phase / today, CE is eliminated. Night phase, no mafia factional NK.
Day phase after CE is eliminated, 5-town-advantage over Mafia's three players
Would again take 2 mis-eliminations to lose to mafia. Sudden death cannot happen.