Aamirus has stepped down her play, Frinckles still wants Kenny dead, Light is... No idea?, Pathfinder keeps making random comments with no basis, Kenny I feel like I havent read him the entire game lol.
And Voss hates me for reasons unknown.
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Aamirus has stepped down her play, Frinckles still wants Kenny dead, Light is... No idea?, Pathfinder keeps making random comments with no basis, Kenny I feel like I havent read him the entire game lol.
And Voss hates me for reasons unknown.
If I can't talk to you about Gyr or Mag then we can talk about Octane:
The chances of picking a group of 3 townspeople people at the beginning of the game with no flips is 25.24% The inactives were Octane, Huey, and PPFortress. By this math, there's a 75% chance that Octane is scum.
(you know, i've never tried a statistical argument, but let's see where this goes).
I'm afraid you arent going to be able to push anyone, sorry.
I think they do in this situation. It's a lot like the 2 goats and a car game show problem.
And what’s the chance of picking a group of 3 scum at game start? Much lower, I bet. Then, the probability of Octane being scum is not 75%. Even with a probability of 24% of there being at least one scum in that group, independently, assuming that only one is scum, the probability of EXACTLY Octane being scum is 33% of 75% = 25%. But that could be applied to anyone here and honestly it loses its meaning. There’s also absolutely no reason for the inactives to have been given scum role-cards
All scum
Octane Scum, other town
Huey scum
Pp scum
Octane and Huey scum
Octane and Pp scum
PP and Huey scum
All town
so... given that we know Huey and PP are town the probability is 50% but you could literally say that of anyone here
Octane could be scum, sure, but not because of probability lol
Why does everyone assume a no-kill scenario would imply cult?
I'm going to drop the statistical proof before I make more of a fool of myself.
Spoiler : cvote :
Is the game over friends?
Or can we still win this?
‘Still’?
we don’t even know if there are any scum
TBH At This Point I Just Wish I Had A Better Idea As 2 What The Hell Is Going On.. Nobody Has Been Night Killed Other Then Suicide Lynch Mod Killed.. So Either Its Mafia With No Killing Role Cult.. Or A Solo Arsonist.. I Mean Thats Whats Been Running Through My Head.. Honestly It Feels Like Everyone Is Kinda Finger Pointing At Everyone.. So It All Seems Pretty Townie From Every Perspective I View This Game From.. That Being Said Frinkcles Mag Possible Team Kenny Ammirus Possible Team.. Based On Over All Interactions And Protecting Of Said Players.. Back And Forth Between Them 4..