S-FM 234: Lottery

[PIayer]

It probably was lost somewhere in a wall, thx scv.

@Mayor: yes too lazy to do it myself but doing an iso on me I gave several suspicions since original scv wagon.

Starting to feel really sleepy, I believe Unknown will check in eventually with or w/o my vote. While rereading early game he seemed legit, now early is worth what's worth, but if I trust you as Mayor and keep my foolish-blind-D1-townread on SCV, 3 of 5 MM/Nawa/Unknown/Gyr/Trophywife are scum. Without foolish-scv-trust 3/6 coinflip. I said all game at MM how his misleadings were compensated by his contribution to chat motion. Maybe he's just a really naive townie, maybe Nawa is just a really naive townie.

I hesitate to park my vote on him bc I don't want you guys to speed lynch him before he can explain himself, could you promise you wouldn't do that? That I could go to sleep and wake and it would still be EoD?

[Exeter350]

Go ahead and park your vote on MM/Nawa. I won't vote till 6 hours before day ends.

[PIayer]

Well if one or both of you Exe & SCV turn scum I'm gonna hate myself for a while.

But I'll gamble on block with you, assuming Nawa is still next in line if MM appears convincing enough to you, and you'll give him time to make a proper defense/ fair trial.

Gods be good, if you drag this day until it's very last hours like the good townies you are, I may be able to wake up in time to update my vote to MM's defense and contribute EoD.

[PIayer]

forgot that part LOL

-vote Marshmallow Marshall

Need to rest for a while. DON'T BE EVIL WHILE IM AWAY PLS, NO TURBO ON MM, AND GAVE HIM FAIR TRIAL, IF YOU CAN WAIT LONG ENOUGH ILL COME BACK COME EOD FOR UPDATE

@Marshmallow Marshall
@Dr Unknown
@Nawa
@Gyrlander
@mrtrophywife

[Exeter350]

Yes, we'll lynch either MM or Nawa today. I'm prioritising MM for now but I'm willing to change to Nawa depending on the situation.

If one but NOT both of MM/Nawa are Mafia, and we lynch the wrong one today, I am going to shit my pants and lick it clean.

[Scvmurderer]

forgot that part LOL

-vote Marshmallow Marshall

Need to rest for a while. DON'T BE EVIL WHILE IM AWAY PLS, NO TURBO ON MM, AND GAVE HIM FAIR TRIAL, IF YOU CAN WAIT LONG ENOUGH ILL COME BACK COME EOD FOR UPDATE

@Marshmallow Marshall
@Dr Unknown
@Nawa
@Gyrlander
@mrtrophywife

I've said since start of day I think MM was the better lynch. I'll unvote till you get back player or EoD.

-unvote

[Exeter350]

LOL hoping real hard that you're not evil trying to manipulate me SCV!!!

MM it is.

[Exeter350]

Okay it's 6 hours till day ends. Here goes nothing.

-vote Nawa

[Exeter350]

Wait I mean

-vote Marshmallow Marshall

[Scvmurderer]

Wait I mean

-vote Marshmallow Marshall

Lmao, I'm hold off on L1 till a little later in day. Who's going to vote with us again? It was gyrlander, Trophy or unknown. I think trophy was the one on board to lynch.

[Scvmurderer]

If Mm/Nawa arent lynched because unknown, gyrlander and trophy decided to afk ima be pissed

[Nawa]

Now i can do nothing.

[Exeter350]

Lmao, I'm hold off on L1 till a little later in day. Who's going to vote with us again? It was gyrlander, Trophy or unknown. I think trophy was the one on board to lynch.

Trophy was down to lynch Nawa, idk if he's down to lynch MM. Also he pulled out of the Nawa lynch because I was joking around saying my lynch was just a gamble (it isn't, there's thinking behind it).

Now i can do nothing.

We're not lynching you, we're lynching MM.

If you got anything to say to defend MM you should say it quick. 5 hours left to go.

[Exeter350]

Make that 4 and a half hours.

This is worrying considering how close we are to the end of day.

@Gyrlander
@Dr Unknown
@mrtrophywife

[Gyrlander]

I'm really sorry about this. Will re-read as fast as I can but I will also have to leave soon.

[Gyrlander]

So the trains changed from Nawa to Scvmurderer and MM? Well, this may be a little emotion-influenced but I would prefer lynching MM.

Also, he's an asshole.

[Gyrlander]

For me, scv hasn't done anything specially suspicious. Normally when I'm reading posts I may get a certain weird sensation but when I read scv's posts I don't feel that. It's quite strange cause I'm normally afraid of everyone lmao.

[Exeter350]

So the trains changed from Nawa to Scvmurderer and MM? Well, this may be a little emotion-influenced but I would prefer lynching MM.

Also, he's an asshole.

For me, scv hasn't done anything specially suspicious. Normally when I'm reading posts I may get a certain weird sensation but when I read scv's posts I don't feel that. It's quite strange cause I'm normally afraid of everyone lmao.

No it's a lynchtrain on MM and Nawa, starting with MM.

If you're leaving soon, I suggest parking your vote on MM. Otherwise we won't have the votes to get him today.

[Scvmurderer]

It's been agreed to vote mm. Player may not show before EoD too so we need you to park vote gyrlander if u gonna lve, or no lynch today.

[Exeter350]

@Gyrlander

YOUR CLOCK IS TICKING, MISS ESPINOZA.

[Gyrlander]

@Gyrlander

YOUR CLOCK IS TICKING, MISS ESPINOZA.

I'm still reading every now and then ffs.

-vote Marshmallow Marshall

[Exeter350]

Very good, my dear Bell, very good.

Ideally we'd get some input from MM or Nawa before we HAMMERTIME but everybody's missing today because it's mothafucking TGIF AND I'M STUCK AT HOME STUDYING FOR MY EXAMS AND PROCRASTINATING *froths at the mouth*

I should be outside enjoying my youth, man.

[Scvmurderer]

Hammertime.

-vote Marshmallow Marshall

[The Godfather]

Marshmallow Marshall has been lynched! Stand by for the host's review and day-end post!


Scvmurderer (2 [L-3]): Nawa, Marshmallow Marshall
Marshmallow Marshall (5 [L-0]): Scvmurderer, Exeter350 (Mayor), PIayer, Gyrlander

[SuperJack]

Night Three

• 00

• 00

• 00

• 00

DAYS HOURS MINUTES SECONDS

Marshmallow Marshall was lynched. He was Town.


GOLD TICKET
#924936

PURPLE TICKET
#571522

BLUE TICKET
#003858

RED TICKET
#043361

Players	Graveyard
@Scvmurderer @Nawa @mrtrophywife @Gyrlander @Dr Unknown @Exeter350 @PIayer	Fatalis - Town Hybrid - Town Stealthbomber16 - Town Marshmallow Marshall - Town

QuickLinks
LINK TO SETUP
PostCount
Day One
Day Two
Day Three
Day Four
Day Five

[SuperJack]

Day Four

• 00

• 00

• 00

• 00

DAYS HOURS MINUTES SECONDS

Exeter350 is the mayor with 2 votes.
mrtrophywife is the mayor with 2 votes.

Doctor Unknown was killed. He was Town.
4 votes to hammer.

GOLD TICKET
1-use Gun

PURPLE TICKET
Witch

BLUE TICKET
Doctor

RED TICKET
Lookout

Players	Graveyard
@Scvmurderer @Nawa @mrtrophywife @Gyrlander @Exeter350 @PIayer	Fatalis - Town Hybrid - Town Stealthbomber16 - Town Dr Unknown - Town Marshmallow Marshall - Town

QuickLinks
LINK TO SETUP
PostCount
Day One
Day Two
Day Three
Day Four
Day Five

[/QUOTE]

[Scvmurderer]

Well shit.

[mrtrophywife]

Who won the one use gun last night.

[mrtrophywife]

By last night I mean yesterday.

[Nawa]

Idk what to say.

[Nawa]

I publicly say i want my points go to Player after i die.
Everyone else is scum/null.

[mrtrophywife]

Wait- doesn't Mafia win? It's 3 Mafia to 3 town

[PIayer]

Oookay, afaik you're now both 100% mayor confirmed or it would be over. That makes it pretty straigtforward (Unless sneaky tailor scenario).
Also we need to talk about raffle but im on mobile, dont speedlynch til tomorrow pls Ill be back home.

[PIayer]

Reread the setup boys

We still got a chance even swarmed by maf ^^

[Scvmurderer]

Well.im convinced. I fucked up and player and exeter r the.actual mafia

[Exeter350]

Oookay, afaik you're now both 100% mayor confirmed or it would be over. That makes it pretty straigtforward (Unless sneaky tailor scenario).
Also we need to talk about raffle but im on mobile, dont speedlynch til tomorrow pls Ill be back home.

Mafia wins if they hold 50% of the votes come morning.

There are 3 Mafia versus 3 Towns.

If trophy OR I were Mafia, Mafia would win.

3 Mafia + 1 extra vote vs 3 Town + 1 extra vote.

If both trophy AND I were Mafia, we'd hold more than 50% of the votes.

This means Trophy and I are confirmed Town.

Mafia: SCV for sure.

I realised he's been playing the too scummy to be scum shit since the very first post, and I completely fell for it hook, line and sinker.

In the words of my bunkmate when I was still serving in the Army, "They played us like a damn fiddle!"

@mrtrophywife
@Gyrlander
@Nawa

[Gyrlander]

I understand. Then, everyone else appart from us is Mafia. You were correct after all about Nawa, Exeter. However, as you maybe be skeptical of me as well I suggest we lynch scv, who fucked up 100% yesterday.

I legit thought he was town, but that hammer was obviously to finish he game as he probably thought Mafia already won.

-vote Scvmurderer

@mrtrophywife
@Exeter350

Only with your votes we'll be able to lynch.

[Exeter350]

I understand. Then, everyone else appart from us is Mafia. You were correct after all about Nawa, Exeter. However, as you maybe be skeptical of me as well I suggest we lynch scv, who fucked up 100% yesterday.

I legit thought he was town, but that hammer was obviously to finish he game as he probably thought Mafia already won.

-vote Scvmurderer

@mrtrophywife
@Exeter350

Only with your votes we'll be able to lynch.

I'll think on it.

Also I'll wait for input from the others before I place my vote anywhere. Not that that's served me any good over the past few days, but still...

[mrtrophywife]

Who won the gun? I won every raffle yesterday but the gun. Used my doctor on Gyrander.. no use.

[Exeter350]

Not me.

Also, that's some crazy luck you've got there

[PIayer]

Wasnt me neither, betted 1 on medic and everything else on NK, won nothing TT

3 tickets today, once Im home we should strat about rafle

Regarding votes said it was straightforward bc you both know youre confirmed so 3/4 of us else are mafia, again unless we got Tailored.

So you both need to agree on someone in the pool and either Exe NK another if he got it, or its all down to raffle to get another NK. Doc we definitely need the coinflip. Witch may be good vs maf NK but its more variance for town than true NK

[Scvmurderer]

Oookay, afaik you're now both 100% mayor confirmed or it would be over. That makes it pretty straigtforward (Unless sneaky tailor scenario).
Also we need to talk about raffle but im on mobile, dont speedlynch til tomorrow pls Ill be back home.

6 players remain.
3 mafia
3 town
At this point the mayor's are not confirned. One of them can still be mafia but not both of them. The mafia will mosr likrly caude a stalemate vote if one of them is mafia. If not we have a chance.

[Scvmurderer]

6 players remain.
3 mafia
3 town
At this point the mayor's are not confirned. One of them can still be mafia but not both of them. The mafia will mosr likrly caude a stalemate vote if one of them is mafia. If not we have a chance.

I heavily suggest not voting Willy nilly today lest a mayor hammer some1.

[PIayer]

From Maf POV, objective value for today's raffle should be NK > Witch > Medic. For Town it's more tricky, all 3 are tempting but implying mindgames.

They need to kill one of you mayors + survive all 3 to win.
If f.e. you lynch SCV or whoever else & he flips scum, even if left mafia kills one of you mayors, next day town will still have 3 vote still and maf 2, with another shot to save surviving mayor. Best case scenario for tonight: Mafia fails to kill thanks to medic. Worst case scenario: Maf uses factional NK + yesterday Vig and kill both mayors, one of them being the doctor, and win 2v2 tomorrow.

Another thing: if I announce I allin Medic as last townie (to avoid worst case scenario), Maf will have to chose between taking a coinflip targeting a mayor, or targeting me assuring the kill but leaving them at 4v2 votes the next day. If they do so, D5 is insta lynch maf (4v1 vote). Then N5 maf kills a mayor (2v1 vote). Then D6 2v1 Town win (am I correct or did I miss something?)
If so, Mafia is forced to take the coinflip & not target me. I believe that's the best we can hope for at this point, but need your insights on this.

Idd they could also spit on the value and try to deny Medic, decreasing their odds for NK/Witch. Idk what they would do at this point.

(this is all w/o considering a Tailor possibility, it would be a BIG mindfuck here but imo paranoia of it would have overall more bad effects than good on your decision making, so I wouldn't mind for this possibility if I were you mayors)


The way I see it, game output will be determined by Lottery at this point but we can still win: not that bad of an outcome considering we just mislynched every day minus D1 (and I got 0 stuff so far, SJ must hate me since last game ='()

[Scvmurderer]

I understand. Then, everyone else appart from us is Mafia. You were correct after all about Nawa, Exeter. However, as you maybe be skeptical of me as well I suggest we lynch scv, who fucked up 100% yesterday.

I legit thought he was town, but that hammer was obviously to finish he game as he probably thought Mafia already won.

-vote Scvmurderer

@mrtrophywife
@Exeter350

Only with your votes we'll be able to lynch.

Dammit gyrlander you scum

[PIayer]

Well sorry for you SCV but they ARE both confirmed as Exeter caught, if one of them were maf it would be 4 vote vs 4 vote = mafia win.

At this point we know everyone's alignment, UNLESS again TAILOR.
Now SCV only reason I see for you to not catch is, is you actually knowing we got tailored at some point.

[PIayer]

We is I btw, Exec & Trophy still can't know atm, from their perspective 3/4 of left players are scum so for today they just have to agree on one (2 if any of them actually got NK)

[Scvmurderer]

Well sorry for you SCV but they ARE both confirmed as Exeter caught, if one of them were maf it would be 4 vote vs 4 vote = mafia win.

At this point we know everyone's alignment, UNLESS again TAILOR.
Now SCV only reason I see for you to not catch is, is you actually knowing we got tailored at some point.

Is it 50/50 or is it greater then 50%?

[Scvmurderer]

Also lol. If the mayor's are confirmed and I know personally I'm last townie. Well I know who the scum is now. @Player @Gyrlander @Nawa . DAMMIT I SHOULD GONE WITH THE NAWA LYNCH

[PIayer]

Obviously everyone will claim this at this point.

Again unless a tailor mindfucked them at some point, what's next is pretty clear, all down to Exe & Trophy's reads + raffle outcome.