It has been an interesting day so far.
I'm thinking the group wouldn't likely solve the puzzle in the early going of the game. Right now, I am in the position of being the Godfather realistically. Yeah there's the lynch immune, night kill immune, trap immune member but he has no night action. I can make our assassins into a misdirection army.
There is the possibility of the thief solving the puzzle n1, but I just don't buy it. Plus, there are many explorers (read: assassins in training) to recruit to get back up to three. I'd rather have the possibility of a misdirection.
In a normal game of this size, the first role I would take is spy/consigliere. Yet, with no method to communicate to the other members, this is a much weaker role right now. I'd rather cause chaos with an Arcane Trickster and Graverobber.
I'd look and see who is the most town out of those two assign the roles. If I can only assign one, I'd take the trickster first. Feedback from roles not in the game is always confusing and would cause the town to focus more on the setup than finding us.
I plan on claiming student if ever cornered in the early game. I can then change myself into another role and another role into the Quartermaster if I ever get forced to pick someone.
Cernd reads like a player I've played with before. Gut says Orpz atm.
Jahiera screams ika with that avatar. Yet, he's apologized for inactivity when not really inactive suggesting he's faking my com as well.
Edwin seems to be playing a lot like Slaol. Odd considering Slaol is one of the hosts. I don't think he's scum at all but I'll be glad for a mislynch.
I think I am in a decent position right now and could possibly draw a doctor heal, especially if I am wrong about Edwin.
I am also finding it odd that Heartwarmer was mentioned earlier on. That doesn't seem like something people would naturally gravitate to, unlike only one of the two "Framer" neutral kills being in the game.
Overall, the cult is in a good position if we can get the town to bicker over if a Arcane Trickster/Graverobber is in the game not realizing they are both there.